Investorenkalkulation
Von Konzeptbildern zu Machbarkeitsannahmen.
Bilder berechnen weder Umsatz noch Kosten. Sie definieren ein mögliches Programm. Das Modell ist nur ein frühes Screening-Tool für bessere Fragen zu Grundstück, Baurecht, Key Count, ADR, Auslastung, Marge und Kapitalbedarf.
Was kann jetzt berechnet werden?
Nur eine Bandbreite. Das Modell nutzt bearbeitbare Annahmen, damit Investoren die Sensitivität bei GFA, Baukosten, Key Count, ADR, Auslastung, Nebenumsatz, Marge und Cap Rate sehen.
Annahmen
Screening-Ergebnis
Development cost range
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Hard cost plus soft costs, contingency, and land allowance.
Annual revenue
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Rooms plus F&B, wellness, work, and events as a % of rooms.
EBITDA / NOI proxy
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Early operating-profit proxy before financing and taxes.
Stabilized value proxy
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NOI proxy divided by cap rate. Not a valuation.
Equity need range
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Indicative sponsor and strategic equity if debt funds the remainder.
Yield on cost proxy
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NOI proxy divided by midpoint development cost.
Cost side
Start with buildable GFA multiplied by benchmark hard cost per m2. Add land, professional fees, taxes, permits, pre-opening, contingency, utilities, pools, spa equipment, beach works, FF&E gaps, and financing costs. The calculator groups most of that into the soft-cost and contingency field.
Revenue side
Room revenue equals keys x ADR x 365 x occupancy. Other revenue is a screening allowance for F&B, beach club, wellness, coworking, tennis, private events, and memberships. Each line needs a separate model once operator and market inputs are available.
Operating side
EBITDA margin is a high-level allowance for payroll, utilities, maintenance, insurance, OTA and sales costs, management fees, F&B cost of goods, spa staffing, beach operations, and reserves. A real model needs monthly seasonality.
Capital side
Equity share estimates how much capital may be needed before and alongside construction debt. Senior debt normally depends on permits, budget certainty, sponsor equity, pre-opening plan, operator quality, and lender appetite.
Papafi pilot
The EUR 120k Papafi plot is modeled separately as a pilot house, not blended into the resort model. Its job is to produce local evidence: permit timing, build cost, contractor reliability, rental demand, guest feedback, and content.
Nächster Schritt
Daraus ein echtes Investorenmodell machen.
Annahmen durch Nachweise ersetzen: Vermessung, Zoning Opinion, baubare GFA, Unit Schedule, Capex-Schätzung, Betriebsmodell, Comp-Set ADR, monatliche Auslastung, Finanzierungskonditionen und Betreibergebühren.